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  • HarryD 5:51 pm on November 26, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , , Vietnamese LinkedIn clones,   

    What is happening to Cyvee, what will? 

    As my prior prediction on Cyvee’s booming traffic rank on Alexa that “this won’t last long”, you might find something interesting here: http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details/cyvee.com

    After peaking in early November following an IDG Ventures Vietnam funding clamour, CyVee is experiencing its first challenge. Though subscribed members have climbed from 12,000 to more than 13,000, its ranking on Alexa is going downward. While Alexa should not be considered as the standard of web ranking, it is enough to reveal something about CyVee’s traffic, other factors equal.

    I’ve written on Quang’s blog that CyWorld and CyVee are the two best social networking platforms in Vietnam so far. I still stand by this argument. However, even a brilliant business model with proven success in other countries (Cyworld and LinkedIn) when copied in Vietnam will find some daunting tasks repeating a similar success.

    I have to admit that I use Cyvee as pure curiosity and as a “must” for a person so interested in this industry as me. In fact, I found there is almost no use for my appearance on CyVee. Most of my relationship are very “1.0” without the need to pronounce on CyVee. Checking with some boards of directors that I happen to have a sit in, almost no senior executive over there have a Cyvee account. Some have, but almost never use CyVee’s services. Looking at Cyvee’s members, most of the enthusiasts are students and middle managers.

    I guess because time is a luxury to all senior executives, you must bring something really valuable to them. Otherwise you cannot persuade them to indulge in your services by consuming their luxurious time.

    Jason just posted an interesting observation on the situation of Cyworld Vietnam in his blog. Now the two best platforms, Cyworld and Cyvee, seem to see many challenges ahead, it would be interesting to wait what will happen next to Vietnam’s web 2.0 spree.

    The story is now more interesting if you notice that News Corporation is planning an acquisition of LinkedIn. With News Corp.’s not very excellent track record in evolving and replicating their web 2.0 business models around (remember MySpace’s lost against Facebook, and where is MySpace China now?), expect Mr. Murdoch to turn LinkedIn into something similar to WSJ rather than an emerging technology platform. LinkedIn’s owners might be busy now working on their Open Social process with Google before selling to News Corp for a better price tag, so don’t expect them to look for Cyvee in Vietnam for an acquisition.

    Another problem with Cyvee is that News Corp has developed a reputation adapting their business models in other countries on their own rather than acquiring someone else. Remember Ms. Deng’s MySpace China, and Murdoch’s StarTV expansion around Asia? Therefore, while LinkedIn can fetch its owners some $4-6 billion from Mr. Murdoch (this is my own valuation of LinkedIn based on their current revenues/profits and an estimated “social networking multiple”), a price for CyVee would be at a far horizon.

    May be time for another exit strategy? Maybe, but CyVee needs to address its downward picture first.

     
    • Hồng Quang 7:51 am on November 27, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Hmm, Alexa sucks sometimes; you can see the same trends for yobanbe, cyword too.

      Who should aquire CyVee? No, not News Corp. A passing thought, how about FPT?

    • HarryD 5:19 pm on November 30, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Cyvee is climbing a bit on Alexa in the past few days. Maybe interesting to wait and see.

      Meanwhile, FaceViet is experiencing a terrible tumble on Alexa, I can’t understand what is happening to FV.

      Given that FPT always boasts the most confident middle managers on earth, they might well believe starting their own SNS would be a cheaper way to do web 2.0 than acquiring someone like Cyvee. I’m waiting for their relaunch of Your Gate…

    • Nhon.PT 7:10 am on October 13, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Hi Harry,
      I think a business model like Cyvee cannot operate good in Viet Nam because the following reason:
      + Vietnamese culture is not as open as Westerns is the first barrier. Many highly effective people in Viet Nam were born before 1980 that their mind of relationships is so serious. Do you think they like to show their profile in public?
      + In real world, almost Vietnamese users doesn’t have much experience of social networking to build their network like Westerners. Do you think a person who lacks of experience to do social network in their school, in their work can do well it on internet? I don’t think so.
      As I guess, social networking sites in Viet Nam will be more realistic 3 or 5 years late.
      Thanks for sharing!

  • HarryD 4:09 pm on November 18, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , GuongMat.com, ,   

    Vietnamese Facebook clones’ face off: FaceViet vs. GuongMat vs. Tamtay vs. VC Corp vs. you name it… 

    More Vietnamese Internet players are joining the Facebook cloning bandwagon, and there are 15 billion reasons they may end up like their Chinese counterpart Xiaonei.

    Coming earliest to the field should be GuongMat.com, an exact Facebook clone from design to functions to everything. It is rumored GuongMat is put up by an oversea Vietnamese. GuongMat’s advantage is its clean and intuitive interface and easy to use Facebook functions like photo and message. However, that’s all what GuongMat have on its face. With these assets, GuongMat might have 240 million improvements ahead before becoming a Vietnamese Facebook.

    Tamtay.vn is the second guy entering the field. Actually when entering Tamtay, you should expect a buffet of web 2.0 mess, from video clips to photos to everything you can imagine. The only thing why I categorize Tamtay as a Facebook clone is its recent redesign to look exactly like Facebook. Tamtay is in a serious identity crisis, and until their management can pronounce concisely in one sentence what business model it is hatching, another 240 million improvements should be worthless.

    Interesting enough is new comer FaceViet, which will launch amid fanfare from this November 20. Khoa Pham assembled a very interesting feature on FaceViet through his interview with FaceViet’s CEO, so I would not elaborate more on this. From my point of view, FaceViet has a cool name and a pretty design, taking its dark red as signature color (although this makes the site too feminine). I would say this is a very smart identity move, as it is exactly opposite to Facebook. Key functions of FaceViet are news feed/mini feed, photos, events, super wall etc. FaceViet’s clever product strategy should make it one of the first to earn Vietnamese Facebook clone marquee.

    It is rumored VC Corp, one of Vietnam’s leading web 2.0 players with popular Baamboo and Sannhac services, is also busy preparing a Facebook clone. This might create a lot of difficulties for FaceViet, as VC Corp is well known for their technology capabilities and smart marketing concepts.

    The face off between Vietnamese Facebook clones therefore will just intensify in the coming time, but it is easy to see a future between the two horses: FaceViet and VC Corp. FaceViet have assembled a group of passionate and well-educated management team. It has done some early good work in brand identity and technology platforms. Meanwhile, VC Corp’s people have a team of very experienced managers but not just simply theoretical knowledge. They well know the pulse of the market, and is a deep pocket player as well. One more thing that FaceViet can not match VC Corp is VC Corp’s unrivalled reach through its key web properties. My prediction is that VC Corp will soon surpass FaceViet in terms of customer acquisition and become the No. 1 Facebook clone in Vietnam.

    A subjective prediction it is, but any winner in this red sea battle will find it in another challenge: how to find the vitality for its Facebook clone. I would stand by my viewpoint that Facebook is uniquely a US phenomenon. Any attempts to replicate Facebook in another culture and country are risky enough. All Vietnamese Facebook clone should look to neighbouring China to find heavily VC-backed Xiaonei, the most successful Facebook clone ever in Asia, as a good example. Vietnam, like China, has its own cultural context and any attempts to replicate international business model with “top-down” approach rather than from “bottom-up” demand analysis should have to pay a considerable price tag.

    Maybe in one years’ time, all my predictions will be proved utterly wrong. In that case, forgive me for a viewpoint that has taken Vietnamese culture, context and consumer insights too far in business strategizing.

     
    • Hoang Tran 9:49 pm on November 18, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Very interesting analysis. Thanks Harry for a thoughtful post. I would agree that the competition now is between FaceViet and VCcorp “future to be announced product”. (The other websites make me feel like a pretty coat but no spirit inside)

      VCcorp is surely one of the power horses in Vietnam with IDG backed-up, and they have the manpowers that they need: management team, engineers, PR, web alliances. etc.. I haven’t seen their product yet so I will not say anything more than this.

      On the other hand, FaceViet adopts the facebook model in the full extends with well-designed website, easy to navigate user interface and as you said “a group of passionate and well-educated management team.” In this industry, we all know that the people is what drive one good idea into a successful product.

      Will a power horse win or will it be another hi-tech Cinderella story? I will have my eyes wide opened and seriously can’t wait to see when the battle settled.

    • Alex Minh 5:14 am on November 19, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      I totally agree with you two about FaceViet and VC Corp. If* VC Corp. is going to make a clone of facebook ( I use if because we are not sure whether they are going to make one or mayb with all the fund they got from IDG , they may acquire faceviet) then we will have 2 horses race.

      It is very interesting to see who will come on top. We all know that VC Corp. got fund from IDG but who is behind faceViet.com? We do not know yet.

      Like you two, I will keep an close eyes on both.

      Peace

    • Hồng Quang 5:55 am on November 20, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      We’ll never know what will work on the net until it works. One thing for sure, the game place is getting crowded — the first one who could reach 1M subscriptions (just refer to current Y!360 user number in VN roughly) would be likely to win the match, I guess.

    • thanhdn 9:43 am on November 21, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      From technical point, it’s not so difficult to create something like faceviet. You might forget the fact that ttvnol.com had been popular in the schools since 1999…, ThangVV has alot of experience of school community development. So VC’s has a big advantage to dominate the market.

    • Hoang Tran 11:38 pm on November 21, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @thanhdn: Can’t agree more! VCcorp has more advantages in developing one community.

      @Hong Quang: 1 million would be a too big of a number, you think? I would say anybody has 500K would be good to go.

      According to recent news (rumor), VCcorp is not going to be a the biggest guy in the game anymore. Another giant from oversea (either China or US branch, still confirming) is developing another clone and will push it in the market by end of 2007. It is so funny that I hear people talking about this almost everyday, even within my company.

    • tanng 2:20 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Hi all. You all seem to forget that on the Internet the best product will eventually win. Marketing or financial power will not be a key factor to success. Also, Internet is about whole new thing, so any experience will bring no advantage to you. Sometime experience even make harm to you because it keeping your from accepting new idea, inventing new thing or new way of thinking.

      So I think that everyone except FB is on equal footing in this game (in fact FaceBook has huge product advantage to all other FaceBook clones)

    • HarryD 3:19 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @Hoang Tran: I also hear from my friends that a number of other players are lining up to join game, in the wake that Facebook clones in China and Germany are collecting some $100 million each.

      @Tanng: The best product stems from the combination of excellent marketing insights and relevant technology platforms. All founders of greatest tech companies are at the core marketing genius (thinking of Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Mark Zuckerberg & Co. itself). Any disruptive innovation is at core a marketing phenonmena through satisfying unmet demands based on mix-matching current technologies (not the new ones). Financial resources will allow scaling up, which is not less important. So while I agree with you that product is most important, marketing and financing capabilities are also a must in any success. Even Facebook had to get some good financing deals to go this far. Other factors equal, VC and VinaGame with more bucks and more people have more probability to succeed than others.

    • Xman 5:14 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @Tanng: I did not see any core tech with VCC products, many see VCC just had Marketing or/and financial power (Dantri, ttvnol and Vincom)

    • nam 5:26 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      interesting post
      i believe GuongMat.com has been online for only a few months. Seems like tamtay.vn is the first FB clone?

    • tanng 5:47 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Hi HarryD. Financial resource and marketing power could make more harm than benefit, because it may kill innovation spirit. Do you think that Yahoo, Microsoft or Google have less money and power and FaceBook? But they all still fail.

      When resources are scared you have to:

      • Optimize your technology so your application run fast with less resource. Make it scalable by technology not by money.
      • Doing smart marketing not silly PR and advertising like TimNhanh.com and Zing are doing now.
      • Streamlining your service, keeping only core features thus not allowing your product derail from the core value.

      When you have too many resouces you may

      • Get everything bloated: service, server, community, …
      • Overhyped and mislead by alexa and google analytics success, not measuring your success by customer satisfaction and enthuasism
      • Raising too much expectation from customer, thus risking over-promise
      • Distract your service from the core.
      • Not trying to get excellency from your team, your technology, your product.

      My 2 cents is marketing and money may have some impact, but their importance is reduced to nearly zero. That is the beautifulness of the Internet.

      In Vietnam biggest disadvantage of small company may be legal problem. Vinagame has smart and dirty practice that use legal system to attack small player, which may kill their competition in one night.

    • Hoang Tran 7:46 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @nam: I am not sure if you know what you are talking about? Tamtay.vn is a great place for R rated video clips. Their marketing strategy is “Sex sells no matter what”. And I am not blaming them because it works with the Vietnamese internet users. But do I want to have my high school bros and sisters go in there to learn something? Hek no!

      @X man: VCC is big in financial because IDGVV is backing them up. Doesn’t mean that IDGVV is their best buddy to go with them all the way to the end. VCC needs to focus on what they do best which is Baamboo right now and Sannhac later. I personally know a group of guys in Europe is working on a product that would compete with sannhac.com. Sannhac.com is a good product but VCC is pushing them too slow because they think there would be no competition. Wrong thought!

      @tanng: I do agree with tanng that VCC and Vinagame can be a b*(ch and kill a smaller start-up in a few days by all the tricks that they used before. It is an open market and people do what they need to survive, (ethical or not). The legal problem is the BIGGEST problem anybody have to face when they do business in Vietnam.

      I love this quote:”My 2 cents is marketing and money may have some impact, but their importance is reduced to nearly zero. That is the beautifulness of the Internet.” Money might not be able to reduce to zero but marketing effort can be.

    • Duc Loc 11:57 pm on November 26, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Have anybody noticed that most of the users in faceviet are fake. I have tried to send messages to many people and nobody ever replied. Another weird thing is that most users don’t even have a photo or are not associated with any particular group.

      I understand the need to get the first few thousand users and many social network inflate their numbers by registering fake users, but this seems to be overwhelming because most of the users on faceviet are fake. Can anybody confirm that?

      Also with so many bugs as of current version and the design is almost an exact copy of the original facebook, I wonder if faceviet just bought a cheap facebook clone script on the net and use that as the base to their site.

      I searched around for a little while and found a few sites that offer php scripts that can create a facebook clone.

      Here is the list:
      1/ http://www.influxive.com/isociety/index.php
      You can test ride it with
      username is tomchen@ima.com
      password is admin

      2/ http://forums.phpfox.com/showthread.php?t=11747
      This is supposed to be a mod for phpFox, social network software that originally created to look like myspace clone.

      There are plenty others facebook clone scripts, but most of those are really badly coded. I hope that Faceviet is not based on one of those because they will have problem when they need to scale up and handle bigger traffics.

    • Tran Minh 2:29 am on November 30, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      It doesn’t really matter what now, since the “big guy” is on its way to crush FaceViet and VCcorp

      Make a good comparison:
      VCCorp has financial power, coders and more than that back up from its others web propertities = technology + financial + political power. However, what’s VC core business? Baamboo, and they don’t really want to lose that market to somebody else, do they?

      FaceViet has a good team and a working product, so ? Not enough!

      The “big guy” has been pushing rumors all over the place that it will bring one of the best web 2.0 application that nobody has ever seen in Vietnam.

      I think the coding is not something important because what if you have Google or Yahoo script (http://ddth.com/showthread.php?t=143323) , faceviet ( http://freecodevn.com/for@um/showthread.php?t=34312 ) script, would you ever be able to scale up your search engine to be as big as Google or Yahoo ? No, no and no.

      My point of view is once this market getting to crowded by tens of competitors, all we can do is pray and enjoy the show. Because it is going to be fun, and it is going to be dirty.

    • MotTramDo.com 4:39 am on January 22, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Interesting debate. I see much of our concern so far is whether these copycats will succeed. But how about Facebook reactions. With so many clones it must have done something. An effort to localized facebook had been secretly launched (http://nus.facebook.com/translations/). Will these clones useful for finding oversea friends who are on Facebook? Apparently not.

      However, much of Vietnamese population don’t know about Facebook so the cake is still big for them.

      I would like to let Vietnam locals to know more about all these copycat phenomenon, will love to see your blog and continuing debate on mottramdo.com

    • nam 7:19 pm on February 26, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      FV is a joke! they bought php script for a few bucks and claim fv to be the next big thing? come on get real? i just dont understand how people with MBAs are that naive

      fv is now using a different script which is a lot better but still a light weight php script and there is no way they can scale up

    • David Nguyen 8:52 am on February 27, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Lol, following the line of comments, I can see Nam is working for tamtay.vn 🙂

      This kind of attitude and closed-minded personality is what keep technology in Vietnam so behind with the rest of the world.

      I personally don’t see the need to move anywhere else since my 360 is still working and Yahoo doesn’t seem to close it, but tamtay definitely lose my account 🙂

    • Do Kiet 10:50 am on March 23, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Both guongmat and faceviet bought cheap php script online to copy facebook. Those 2 are exactly the same

    • ANKIM.ORG 3:58 pm on July 9, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Faceviet and guongmat both are located in US and VC Corp’s sites are in vietnam.

    • HarryD 8:59 am on July 11, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      @AnKim: thanks for sharing the info, but please keep those “clean” from porn or political links otherwise I’ll have problem with censorship circle.

    • PB 1:57 am on November 1, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Just thought I’d throw another new site into the game, http://www.thegioiban.com. Hosted in the States, has a clean crisp FB style, but not many members. Might only be a matter of time.

  • HarryD 5:03 pm on November 14, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: FPT and web 2.0, FPT Online, Gate.vn, Your Gate social networking by FPT   

    Giant FPT experiments new social networking services 

    As I wrote earlier, more players are crowding into the social networking services game in Vietnam. Newest comer: FPT Online, a poster child of the FPT conglomerate.

    Joining Yobanbe, Timnhanh Cafe, Cyworld and hoping to take a bite at Yahoo when its Yahoo 360 services is having problems remake it Yahoo Mash, FPT Online introduced a 360 clone with the name Your Gate SNS. You can have a quick look at a member I found here: http://your.gate.vn/LeNa

    Your Gate claims it is easy for its member to transfer all virtual assets on their blogs from Yahoo 360, Timnhanh or Yobanbe into Your Gate. Theme design is much like Timnhanh, but worse. Looking at the positioning, I think FPT is planning a Yahoo 360 alternative and competes with Timnhanh and Yobanbe. Is it worth doing this, while Timnhanh and Yobanbe are struggling themselves?

    Jason did a brilliant work recently mentioned FPT’s new 2.0 strategies and its plan to enter the competition. However, like my comments on Jason’s blog (http://jasonlog.supersized.org/archives/96-Can-FPT-2.0-Boost-Its-Share-Price.html#comments), this is an example to prove that FPT is too big and too rich to make forays into web 2.0 space. Maybe FPT should use its stocks bubble to buy Timnhanh rather than developing a copycat in a ghost house where everyone are yet to know what to do next. This would solve both exit strategy for Timnhanh’s investors and FPT Capital’s invesment math

    My guess is that Your Gate will burn some good money from its deep pocket mother and finding itself in a struggle like Yobanbe and Timnhanh Cafe. In the meantime, it would be exciting to see how another FPT web 2.0 child Xiklo debut.

     
    • Jason Vu 4:55 am on November 15, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Actually it is a micro M&A deal of FPT Online, they bought out http://yeunhatky.com/ team to build or/and integrate into your .gate. If FPT Online and FPT Capital do not bring in new web visionaries it will loose the game.

    • Hồng Quang 3:46 am on November 16, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Thanks HarryD for pointing this out. At the moment, I cannot direct to http://your.gate.com, server down?

      FPT has just been voted for the biggest company in private sector — too big to do something small-and-nice as web 2.0, I suppose.

      I’ll have a review on FPT 2.0 strategy; just want more facts & figures.

    • HarryD 4:18 pm on November 18, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Pitiful that FPT has withdrawn its beta version offline, may be a big improvement is looming?

  • HarryD 5:41 pm on November 13, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Google's $1 trillion market capitalization, , web 2.0 strategy   

    My crazy comments on the future of Google 

    I wrote a comment on Google’s future recently on New York Times. Repost here for Vietnamese entrepreneurs as a food for thought. Some day I will come back with a fun prediction on who will be the Google of Vietnam.

    WHY GOOGLE SHOULD BE WORTH MORE THAN P&G, MICROSOFT AND GE COMBINED

    I would predict GOOG surpass MSFT as the biggest company in terms of market capitalization within the next 2 years and well on its way to become the most valuable company in the world. This is why:

    1. Business Model. Google now is more than a search ads company. With the global ad revenues of $400b and US revenues of $300b, there is no way for Google to scale their ad revenues growth (both search and non-search, including hot growth engines display, video, mobile), notwithstanding profits and market capitalization. Still, Google is morphing itself into a true web services company by venturing into office suite software (online), web analytics ultilities, mobile ads etc. GE is the king of Industrial Age. Then came in P&G who became the king of Consumer Goods Age. Then Microsoft, the king of most recent Information Age. Google’s vision to “organize the world’s information” and what it is doing proved its potential is far and big enough to make it the king of future’s Information-based Economy.

    2. Sustainablity. Why I agree with some of you that Google’s business model, i.e. search ads, is replicable, Google is quite a different species. Its brand now has unmatched equity that a second search ad disrupter would find extremely difficult to match. When Google has become the Coke of search ads, expect another century for the Pepsi of search ads to surpass its No.1 position. Moreover, Google is fueling its sustainablity by recruiting the smartest people, and building the best web services brands.

    3. Core competency expanded well beyond search ads. Google’s core competency now is Innovation. And it is fueling this core competency improvement with an unrivalled free cash flow that no technology company in this world could dream of. This would make its competitors sweating just follow them and duplicate these things.

    4. Learning the best of GE, P&G and Microsoft to apply to web space. Google has learnt the lesson of recruiting and developing the best people from GE, applying it to recruit the smartest tech people. It borrows the art of brand management from P&G to build, acquire and manage the web’s leading brands, including Google, YouTube, Orkut, Blogger, Gmail, GTalk, Picasa, to name just a few. It is venturing into Microsoft’s backyard, i.e. office suite and other softwares.

    For these reasons, don’t think that Google is just a fad. It has become a system of core competencies, and this is what will make them dominant in the future Economy 2.0 and super valuable in that future. The only thing that should stop this engine and crash its stock lies in itself if all four things I mentioned above is not relentlessly continued to be upgraded and let other competitors step in.

    Harry Do
    https://harryd844.wordpress.com

     
    • Anh 4:58 am on November 22, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Nice analysis, HarryD, totally agree with you.

  • HarryD 4:51 pm on October 31, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , LinkedIn clone,   

    IDG linked CyVee in 

    Vietnamese media reported on Oct. 30 that IDG has invested in local business social networking startup CyVee with an undisclosed amount. Now IDG has heated up the social networking play in Vietnam again, it might be tempting to see the scorecard of their portfolio.

    CyWorld Vietnam is the first SNS that received IDG’s money. It hopes to duplicate the success story of itself in South Korea, where it is the biggest SN player with more than 20 million members. CyWorld Vietnam claimed they have recruited 100,000 subscribers since its inception early this year, and is looking at the 500,000 landmark by the end of this year. How successful is CyWorld Vietnam? So far the opinions are mixed. Many Vietnamese teens loves its Korean-style design and appearance. However, some more mature and practical teens complain CyWorld is too sweetie teeny, too “closed”, and costly as CyWorld sells their personas and other items (I guess Vietnamese teenagers might not be as wealthy as their Korean counterparts). Nearly one year after its debut, CyWorld Vietnam are still halfway checking if their fee-based business model and Korean anime style would drive Vietnamese teenagers crazy like Bi Rain. Otherwise, CyWorld Vietnam might find itself in a similar position like its US sister.

    Yeuamnhac is the second player in IDG’s portfolio. It has been in a mysterious quiet atmosphere since receiving IDG’s money, except for a redesign of the website and the adding of video sharing functions. Yeuamnhac is in a heavy competition with very strong newcomers such as Zing MP3, 7Music/7Sac, Baamboo Music, Nhacvui, and a jungle of amateur music websites. While Baamboo or 7Sac’s business model has been proved in other part of the world, Yeuamnhac’s business model is uniquely Vietnam and that’s what makes them find difficult to go ahead. What Yeuamnhac should urgently do is to differentiate itself amid the mushrooming of online music services in Vietnam, or it would be ending as the weakest link among IDG’s connects.

    Yobanbe is another IDG’s involvement. It is a service launched by VinaGame, which is touted to be “the most successful” invested company of IDGVV. Well equipped, but Yobanbe is losing steam in its battle with Yahoo 360. Now its parent, VinaGame, is launching a full throttle attack against Yahoo with its Zing franchise, Yobanbe might expect to receive less attention from its mum. One options is to let Yobanbe go wherever it takes before Zing can outchat Yahoo, or the Zing franchise would find itself behind its respective competitors in every war.

    Clip.vn has been quite successful in drawing in viewers and boosting traffic. This YouTube clone is now trying to find the way to monetize its property. It has introduced both display ads and in video banner ads, but the results are still limited. Clip is burning more bucks than other social networking for its servers, so it would be more difficult for them to achieve break even. Though gaining some momentum, Clip will find it difficult to stay independent, just as original YouTube had. Therefore, an acquisition by a power player should be best for Clip’s investors.

    Newcomer CyVee should be the most interesting to watch. With more than 11,000 members since its debut early this year, CyVee is doing quite well in a country where business users’ social networking habits is a novelty to most. The biggest challenge for CyVee is how to scale up and recruit a critical mass user base, otherwise it would be not easy to find decent display ads revenue. Even much heavier trafficked business online news website VnEconomy is finding out that online display ads revenues are so small compared with its stable of magazines and newspapers, then how CyVee scale its growth is a thorny subject. The Chinese clone of LinkedIn is thinking of a “cooperation” with the original LinkedIn, so can we expect a similar move for CyVee? Of course not, at least until LinkedIn goes IPO, which might be a far future. Maybe CyVee should wait until Vietnamworks IPO in 2009, and sell to them or IPO with them.

    Scale. Monetize. Scale. These should be three biggest challenges to all Vietnamese social networking services. In the next few months, expect more Vietnamese SNS players to join the game just to see how they solve these three challenges.

     
    • Do Quang Tu 10:49 am on November 10, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      For Cyworld Vietnam, it is right to say that how Cyworld Vietnam does is still a big question. Cyworld Vietnam is still in phases of developing its user base, so there are many interesting things more to come in the near future.

      All I can tell now is that Cyworld Vietnam has never replicated any Korea phenomena or US-version. Taking advantage of Korean waves is not a good way, and it is obviously more adventurous than we ever think.

      Cyworld focuses on how person expresses his restrained feelings than his knowledge. This makes Cyworld totally different from any social network products. When you step into Cyworld, you’ll find it as a part of your life not your communication mean .Personally, I call it social network service with humanity technology.

      Thank you for your reviewing.

    • Hồng Quang 5:23 am on November 12, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Just my 2 cents:

      + CyWorld.vn: If it had 500.000 users as expected this year, it could reach break-even point soon. Passionate users would be willing to pay, others (like me 😉 ) are not active frequently. No problem with monetization, just how to attract more users.

      + Yeuamnhac: Not sure why IDG invested in this; just to fill its investment categories?

      + YoBanBe: I’ve got a review at web2vietnam.wordpress.com. It now has opportunity to gain users from Y!360 if Yahoo cannot immigrate data to new platform nicely.

      + Clip.vn: It did great job in cloning YouTube for VN users. Yet, like YouTube, monetization is big question.

      + CyVee: I like its ideas and visit it daily now. But I’m a geek; the true market is normal users.

      I suppose IDG does not worry much about monetization; if just VinaGame IPO gets success, they will get back all investment or even better. I know stock market in VN is crazy now (like in China), no rational thinking here.

    • HarryD 10:59 am on November 12, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @Quang: Great insights. I’m quite sure VinaGame will be very successful when it IPO, even Zing franchise is a failure. Pitiful that I could not write on an evaluation of VinaGame, as lacking key data from them. Hope one day this can be done. CyWorld’s 500,000 landmark should be not an easy task.

      @Tu: CyWorld’s value propositioning is unique, and strong enough in Vietnam. I’m quite sure about its future success, but adapting the business model for Vietnam between fee-based and ad-based or something in between should be your biggest question and it would guide your next expansion plan.

    • Khoa Pham 12:45 pm on November 12, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      It’s true that Cyvee, the new vnSpoke, has got very good user engagement. The booming metrics speak for itself:

      http://whois.ws/domain_information-com/cyvee.com/
      http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details/cyvee.com

      Great job on this!

      However, if you pay attention to the registration statistics, the number of users still remain pretty flat over the last few weeks (around 12,000). Cyvee users are pretty educated and affluent, so big money will follow once they solve the scaling issue.

    • Hồng Quang 9:04 am on November 13, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      I cannot find where CyWorld VN announced its subscribers. Need some stats for small research. Could you give me a hint, HarryD?

    • HarryD 2:05 pm on November 13, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @Quang: The number of 100,000 members is Cyworld Vietnam’s claim and was published on some Vietnamese media as a result of their PR work. You can find a reflection at this link: http://itvns.net/diendan/showthread.php?p=22144

      I’ve got no idea how they’re doing since they last announced this 100,000 firgure in Sep.

    • Hồng Quang 2:55 am on November 14, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      @HarryD: Thanks a lot. I found the original source in PC World Vietnam.

    • Do Quang Tu 6:29 pm on November 17, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Dear Harry:

      As a person who is responsible for PR activities of Cyworld Vietnam, I can assure that we have achieved more than 100,000 members since early 2007. The growing speed of our member scale is still fast and stable. We are looking forward to opening new services and expanding the scale in the future.

      Yours sincerely,
      Tu.

    • HarryD 4:05 pm on November 18, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Thanks Tu for the confirmation and make it clear for everyone this is real, and all kind wishes to your team’s efforts.

    • Danhbaweb20.com 8:10 am on May 9, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Bài viết phân tích của bạn rất hay. Cám ơn nhiều !

  • HarryD 5:01 pm on October 29, 2007 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: VinaGame, , Yahoo Vietnam, , Zing Chat   

    Zing Chat prepares to sword Yahoo Chat 

    VinaGame is final testing its Zing Chat IM for an official launch in early November. In fact they bought the popular QQ IM from Tencent and localized it for the Vietnamese market.

    VinaGame is more known in Vietnam for its online game. Some PR work in Vietnamese media stated the company’s revenues at $40 million (amazing!). Their games are mostly licensed from Chinese supplier. Now the company is hoping it can become Vietnam’s Tencent and its coming IPO next year would make it laugh all the way to the bank, at least similar to the story of Mr. Ma’s Tencent in Hong Kong. Tencent is worth $8b, so why Vietnam with 17 million Internet users, a tenth of China’s Interent population, should not be worth north of $800m?

    VinaGame is dreaming big before with the launch of social networking Yobanbe and music search engine Zing MP3. They’ve just launched their Zing portal. Now came in the IM sword. It seems VinaGing is very serious.

    Zing Chat has a bundle of strong points. It offer many cool and cute avatars, very 3D polished indeed. This might be welcomed by Vietnamese teenagers, who are using Chat services like there’s no tomorrow. It can webcam chat with 5 persons at the same time. Sending file is a click at ease. It is integrated with Zing MP3 so that you can listen to popular Vietnamese songs. VinaGame plans to develop more entertainment apps for their QQ pet, so expect more to come.

    However, it seems Zing Duck will find it difficult to sword at elephant Yahoo IM’s back. Vietnamese users has so attached to Yahoo that leaving Yahoo IM for Zing QQ seems unbelievable to most. Zing Chat is heading to become the multifunctional Swiss knife with a strong confidence than ever. However I very suspect the effectiveness of this approach.

    You can listen to Vietnamese music song with Zing Chat. Ha! Teen should be more comfortable using another online music services like Baamboo, 7Sac, Uizaa, NhacVui, and even Zing MP3 itself. Or for a very smart teen, why should not download the songs she likes from these services and play it from her desktop with Microsoft’s zurassic Music Player? How about sending multi GB file? You can use yousendit, or megaupload, or FPT’s xiklo. Cool and polished avatars cannot help here. The only thing that I like is webcam chat with 5 persons. Might be VinaGame has just found out that Vietnamese teenagers love video conferencing, as many of them love to become future business executives some time? Even that way, can you chat with 5 people and looking at 5 screens at the same time and find it’s a worthy Internet experience?

    I like Zing’s ideas and their ambition, but feel anxious if they are going to battle Yahoo this way. You cannot overcome the market leader by becoming better.

    Or maybe you can, and you make the history.

    Of course I have enough time to wait and see.

     
    • Khaivq 6:32 am on October 30, 2007 Permalink | Reply

      Really like your analysis. Hope to have a chance to meet you in Hanoi.

    • Truyen 8:42 am on March 7, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      Interesting. Of course beating Yahoo! is possible with something like Google version 2.

      Something must not be right here. QQ to Chinese is just the Internet, as people say. Same to YIM to many Vietnamese. I know some people don’t even use email or read VnExpress, but they jump directly to YIM and chat.

      QQ may have been following ICQ, but that time the Internet was almost nothing to people, and there were virtually no other competitors in China. For Vietnamese right now, kicking people out of YIM is almost impossible because of the network effect: every friend is there, so why must I leave for a new chat service with no one talking to me?

      Can it be any new experience for Vietnamese chatters?

    • Lai Tung Lam 4:35 pm on March 10, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      “Tencent is worth $8b, so why Vietnam with 17 million Internet users, a tenth of China’s Interent population, should not be worth north of $800m?”
      I think before you do any analysis of this kind you’d better check your mathematic skills.
      How come to you 17 millions = a tenth of 1 billion (1000 millions) ?
      I give you a WOAAAH for that.
      Youngsters in VN are becoming more ‘internationalised’. That means a considerable portion of them are ready to get rid of Yahoo and start to use MSN, Windows Live Messenger .. Zing Chat also allows conversation between MSN and Yahoo, so, why not give it a try ?
      I’m sure Vietnamese teenagers are always open to the new, the improved ones. Yahoo are getting a bit off the way (when i was in VN the Yahoo servers ‘dies’ quite regularly, and Yahoo 9 can’t even connect to them).
      About the music, I agree with you that to some people it seems unnecessary. But, according to you, while some Vietnamese can’t even surf the web to get news, how can they get access to those music sites ? Isn’t it better to listen to music directly in the chat windows ?
      Last of all, I want to tell you that your sarcastic skills really deserve sarcasm. Next time do a better research and I might drop off to see how far you will have progressed on the skills. =B

    • HarryD 4:21 am on March 11, 2008 Permalink | Reply

      I would like to warn Lam that my blog is for a well grown up readership that deserve you kid’s respect, so be tamed when you write down something and if not please keep shy away from my blog. This blog might be more suitable for kinda old people with lower IQ and mathematic skills than you, and you well deserve to be recognized somewhere better.

      BTW, if you are a little bit more tamed, you would certainly see the blinking difference between the Chinese population or the “Chinese Internet population” addressed in the article.

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